Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000121 0.000134 0.000147 0.000163 0.000181 0.000200 0.000222
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000116 0.000138 0.000164 0.000197 0.000235 0.000285
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000106 0.000132 0.000167 0.000212 0.000270 0.000348
2025-07-27 0.000073 0.000096 0.000125 0.000166 0.000221 0.000295 0.000403
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000090 0.000122 0.000168 0.000234 0.000327 0.000469
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000083 0.000116 0.000166 0.000240 0.000348 0.000522
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000078 0.000112 0.000164 0.000246 0.000370 0.000577
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000072 0.000106 0.000161 0.000249 0.000386 0.000626
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000156 0.000248 0.000396 0.000665
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000064 0.000098 0.000156 0.000255 0.000421 0.000730
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000159 0.000266 0.000451 0.000811
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000156 0.000267 0.000466 0.000864
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000054 0.000087 0.000149 0.000262 0.000470 0.000899
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000086 0.000150 0.000271 0.000500 0.000991
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000152 0.000282 0.000537 0.001104
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000047 0.000082 0.000151 0.000287 0.000562 0.001194
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000153 0.000299 0.000602 0.001325
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000151 0.000302 0.000623 0.001414
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000077 0.000150 0.000306 0.000647 0.001514
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000147 0.000306 0.000664 0.001599
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000142 0.000303 0.000670 0.001658
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000142 0.000309 0.000702 0.001791
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000144 0.000321 0.000746 0.001963